The closely matched Polymarket probabilities for a 4.1–4.3% August unemployment rate reflect uncertainty following the July jobs report, which showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 and the rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation rather than robust hiring. Recent data revisions and softer employment trends have tempered expectations for a further decline, while consensus forecasts from professional surveys and economists point to stabilization near 4.2–4.3% amid balanced but cooling labor market conditions. The September 4 release of August figures will serve as the key catalyst, with trader positioning also informed by broader monetary policy signals and leading indicators such as jobless claims.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAugust Unemployment Rate
August Unemployment Rate
4.2% 31%
4.1% 27%
4.3% 26%
4.0% 12%
$13,417 ปริมาณ
$13,417 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
<1%
3.9%
7%
4.0%
12%
4.1%
27%
4.2%
31%
4.3%
26%
4.4%
2%
4.5%
1%
≥4.6%
4%
4.2% 31%
4.1% 27%
4.3% 26%
4.0% 12%
$13,417 ปริมาณ
$13,417 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
≤3.8%
$323 ปริมาณ
<1%
3.9%
$424 ปริมาณ
7%
4.0%
$1,517 ปริมาณ
12%
4.1%
$4,322 ปริมาณ
27%
4.2%
$2,636 ปริมาณ
31%
4.3%
$2,857 ปริมาณ
26%
4.4%
$568 ปริมาณ
2%
4.5%
$380 ปริมาณ
1%
≥4.6%
$389 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The closely matched Polymarket probabilities for a 4.1–4.3% August unemployment rate reflect uncertainty following the July jobs report, which showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 and the rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation rather than robust hiring. Recent data revisions and softer employment trends have tempered expectations for a further decline, while consensus forecasts from professional surveys and economists point to stabilization near 4.2–4.3% amid balanced but cooling labor market conditions. The September 4 release of August figures will serve as the key catalyst, with trader positioning also informed by broader monetary policy signals and leading indicators such as jobless claims.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,417วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The closely matched Polymarket probabilities for a 4.1–4.3% August unemployment rate reflect uncertainty following the July jobs report, which showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 and the rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation rather than robust hiring. Recent data revisions and softer employment trends have tempered expectations for a further decline, while consensus forecasts from professional surveys and economists point to stabilization near 4.2–4.3% amid balanced but cooling labor market conditions. The September 4 release of August figures will serve as the key catalyst, with trader positioning also informed by broader monetary policy signals and leading indicators such as jobless claims.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,417วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 1:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket probabilities for a 4.1–4.3% August unemployment rate reflect uncertainty following the July jobs report, which showed nonfarm payrolls contracting by 23,000 and the rate easing to 4.1% primarily due to a sharp drop in labor force participation rather than robust hiring. Recent data revisions and softer employment trends have tempered expectations for a further decline, while consensus forecasts from professional surveys and economists point to stabilization near 4.2–4.3% amid balanced but cooling labor market conditions. The September 4 release of August figures will serve as the key catalyst, with trader positioning also informed by broader monetary policy signals and leading indicators such as jobless claims.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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