The U.S. unemployment rate has held steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, reflecting a low-hire, low-fire labor market where nonfarm payroll gains have slowed to just 115,000 in the latest reading amid ongoing federal workforce reductions. Cooling dynamics stem from businesses exercising caution amid elevated tariffs, supply-chain pressures from Middle East tensions, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts that are displacing roles in information and professional services. Wage growth has moderated to around 3.6 percent year-over-year while the labor force participation rate slipped to 61.8 percent, its lowest since late 2021. Traders are watching the June 5 employment report for May data and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on how monetary policy might respond if the rate edges higher before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will US unemployment go in 2026?
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$388,205 ปริมาณ
Jan 10, 2026
5.0%
28%
5.5%
14%
6.0%
13%
7.0%
10%
10.0%
5%
$388,205 ปริมาณ
5.0%
$102,085 ปริมาณ
28%
5.5%
$186,651 ปริมาณ
14%
6.0%
$52,079 ปริมาณ
13%
7.0%
$21,510 ปริมาณ
10%
10.0%
$25,880 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate has held steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, reflecting a low-hire, low-fire labor market where nonfarm payroll gains have slowed to just 115,000 in the latest reading amid ongoing federal workforce reductions. Cooling dynamics stem from businesses exercising caution amid elevated tariffs, supply-chain pressures from Middle East tensions, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts that are displacing roles in information and professional services. Wage growth has moderated to around 3.6 percent year-over-year while the labor force participation rate slipped to 61.8 percent, its lowest since late 2021. Traders are watching the June 5 employment report for May data and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on how monetary policy might respond if the rate edges higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$388,205วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The U.S. unemployment rate has held steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, reflecting a low-hire, low-fire labor market where nonfarm payroll gains have slowed to just 115,000 in the latest reading amid ongoing federal workforce reductions. Cooling dynamics stem from businesses exercising caution amid elevated tariffs, supply-chain pressures from Middle East tensions, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts that are displacing roles in information and professional services. Wage growth has moderated to around 3.6 percent year-over-year while the labor force participation rate slipped to 61.8 percent, its lowest since late 2021. Traders are watching the June 5 employment report for May data and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on how monetary policy might respond if the rate edges higher before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released. If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve based on all previously published data up to that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$388,205วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. unemployment rate has held steady at 4.3 percent through April 2026, reflecting a low-hire, low-fire labor market where nonfarm payroll gains have slowed to just 115,000 in the latest reading amid ongoing federal workforce reductions. Cooling dynamics stem from businesses exercising caution amid elevated tariffs, supply-chain pressures from Middle East tensions, and accelerating AI-driven productivity shifts that are displacing roles in information and professional services. Wage growth has moderated to around 3.6 percent year-over-year while the labor force participation rate slipped to 61.8 percent, its lowest since late 2021. Traders are watching the June 5 employment report for May data and upcoming FOMC communications for signals on how monetary policy might respond if the rate edges higher before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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