Strong economic growth and persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to anchor trader expectations for a 25 basis point hike at the November policy meeting, with market-implied odds at 65.5%. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 3.00% via consecutive 25 basis point increases in July and August, citing upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts near 3.3% from robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand, alongside core inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve tightening has widened the Korea-U.S. rate differential to 1 percentage point, heightening concerns over the won’s stability and capital flows. With the BoK’s dot plot pointing to 3.25% as the median end-2026 rate and analysts flagging November as the next live decision window after an October pause, traders price in a gradual tightening path while monitoring incoming inflation and housing data for any shifts in pace.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว25 bps hike 66%
No Change 33%
50+ bps hike 3.8%
25 bps cut 2.2%
$17,206 ปริมาณ
$17,206 ปริมาณ
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
1%
25 bps cut
2%
No Change
33%
25 bps hike
66%
50+ bps hike
4%
25 bps hike 66%
No Change 33%
50+ bps hike 3.8%
25 bps cut 2.2%
$17,206 ปริมาณ
$17,206 ปริมาณ
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
$844 ปริมาณ
1%
25 bps cut
$620 ปริมาณ
2%
No Change
$9,586 ปริมาณ
33%
25 bps hike
$5,239 ปริมาณ
66%
50+ bps hike
$917 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Strong economic growth and persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to anchor trader expectations for a 25 basis point hike at the November policy meeting, with market-implied odds at 65.5%. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 3.00% via consecutive 25 basis point increases in July and August, citing upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts near 3.3% from robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand, alongside core inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve tightening has widened the Korea-U.S. rate differential to 1 percentage point, heightening concerns over the won’s stability and capital flows. With the BoK’s dot plot pointing to 3.25% as the median end-2026 rate and analysts flagging November as the next live decision window after an October pause, traders price in a gradual tightening path while monitoring incoming inflation and housing data for any shifts in pace.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,206วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.Strong economic growth and persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to anchor trader expectations for a 25 basis point hike at the November policy meeting, with market-implied odds at 65.5%. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 3.00% via consecutive 25 basis point increases in July and August, citing upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts near 3.3% from robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand, alongside core inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve tightening has widened the Korea-U.S. rate differential to 1 percentage point, heightening concerns over the won’s stability and capital flows. With the BoK’s dot plot pointing to 3.25% as the median end-2026 rate and analysts flagging November as the next live decision window after an October pause, traders price in a gradual tightening path while monitoring incoming inflation and housing data for any shifts in pace.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,206วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong economic growth and persistent inflation above the Bank of Korea’s 2% target continue to anchor trader expectations for a 25 basis point hike at the November policy meeting, with market-implied odds at 65.5%. The central bank raised its benchmark rate to 3.00% via consecutive 25 basis point increases in July and August, citing upgraded 2026 GDP forecasts near 3.3% from robust semiconductor exports and domestic demand, alongside core inflation pressures. Recent Federal Reserve tightening has widened the Korea-U.S. rate differential to 1 percentage point, heightening concerns over the won’s stability and capital flows. With the BoK’s dot plot pointing to 3.25% as the median end-2026 rate and analysts flagging November as the next live decision window after an October pause, traders price in a gradual tightening path while monitoring incoming inflation and housing data for any shifts in pace.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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