Banxico has held its benchmark overnight rate steady at 6.50% since mid-2026, with market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the November 5 meeting. Recent August inflation data showed headline at 3.3% and core at 3.9%, supporting gradual disinflation toward the 3% target only by late 2027, while persistent services price pressures and above-target expectations keep the board cautious. Weak domestic activity and external risks from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical volatility reinforce the need for sustained monetary restraint, consistent with the Fed’s tightening path narrowing rate differentials. Analyst consensus points to an extended pause through 2027 absent major shifts. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or pronounced growth slump could reopen easing discussions, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Mexico Decision in November?
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change 91%
25 bps increase 5.3%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$19,524 ปริมาณ
$19,524 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
91%
25 bps increase
5%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 91%
25 bps increase 5.3%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$19,524 ปริมาณ
$19,524 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$1,114 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$1,858 ปริมาณ
3%
No change
$13,789 ปริมาณ
91%
25 bps increase
$1,834 ปริมาณ
5%
50+ bps increase
$930 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banxico has held its benchmark overnight rate steady at 6.50% since mid-2026, with market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the November 5 meeting. Recent August inflation data showed headline at 3.3% and core at 3.9%, supporting gradual disinflation toward the 3% target only by late 2027, while persistent services price pressures and above-target expectations keep the board cautious. Weak domestic activity and external risks from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical volatility reinforce the need for sustained monetary restraint, consistent with the Fed’s tightening path narrowing rate differentials. Analyst consensus points to an extended pause through 2027 absent major shifts. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or pronounced growth slump could reopen easing discussions, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,524วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jspผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.Banxico has held its benchmark overnight rate steady at 6.50% since mid-2026, with market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the November 5 meeting. Recent August inflation data showed headline at 3.3% and core at 3.9%, supporting gradual disinflation toward the 3% target only by late 2027, while persistent services price pressures and above-target expectations keep the board cautious. Weak domestic activity and external risks from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical volatility reinforce the need for sustained monetary restraint, consistent with the Fed’s tightening path narrowing rate differentials. Analyst consensus points to an extended pause through 2027 absent major shifts. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or pronounced growth slump could reopen easing discussions, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,524วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 3:16 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jspผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Banxico has held its benchmark overnight rate steady at 6.50% since mid-2026, with market-implied odds heavily favoring no change at the November 5 meeting. Recent August inflation data showed headline at 3.3% and core at 3.9%, supporting gradual disinflation toward the 3% target only by late 2027, while persistent services price pressures and above-target expectations keep the board cautious. Weak domestic activity and external risks from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical volatility reinforce the need for sustained monetary restraint, consistent with the Fed’s tightening path narrowing rate differentials. Analyst consensus points to an extended pause through 2027 absent major shifts. A sharper-than-expected inflation decline or pronounced growth slump could reopen easing discussions, though both appear low-probability near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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