**The Bulbasaur (Mega Evolution Promos, Promo 037) ungraded price market on Polymarket currently prices “Up” (above the $28.95 Collectr threshold on August 31) at 64%.** This reflects trader consensus that the card, currently trading near $29.21 with recent sales around $35, is likely to hold or edge higher over the next two weeks. Recent stability in the broader Pokémon TCG market—up roughly 3% over the past 30 days—supports the lean, as promo cards like this one have held steady amid steady collector demand for Kanto-themed items. The card’s earlier 2026 surge, driven by the discovery of its hidden Pikachu easter egg, established a higher floor that has not eroded significantly. With August releases including the third wave of the First Partner Illustration Collection and new tins tied to the Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes expansion, short-term interest in starter promos remains supportive rather than deflationary. Traders appear to weigh the proximity to resolution (just 15 days out) and the absence of major downside catalysts against typical minor price fluctuations in raw promos. While an unexpected sell-off could flip the outcome, the current price cushion and market-wide resilience give the “Up” side a modest but clear edge in skin-in-the-game sentiment.