Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, intensified by US-Iran exchanges and partial closures disrupting Gulf exports, have embedded a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with June 2026 futures trading around $101 per barrel amid spot levels exceeding $102 as of May 13. The latest EIA report showed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, supporting bullish sentiment despite OPEC+'s May 3 decision to raise June quotas by 188,000 barrels per day—constrained by regional disruptions. Traders eye peak US summer driving season demand in June, weekly EIA updates, and potential OPEC+ reviews, with forecasts varying from $92–$115 amid softer global demand projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCrude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of June?
$120,794 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$90
62%
$85
60%
$80
67%
$75
84%
$70
90%
$65
86%
$63
93%
$60
97%
$56
95%
$55
94%
$52
96%
$50
98%
$120,794 ปริมาณ
$90
$24,888 ปริมาณ
62%
$85
$5,139 ปริมาณ
60%
$80
$5,477 ปริมาณ
67%
$75
$15,479 ปริมาณ
84%
$70
$19,327 ปริมาณ
90%
$65
$735 ปริมาณ
86%
$63
$8,929 ปริมาณ
93%
$60
$20,829 ปริมาณ
97%
$56
$4,671 ปริมาณ
95%
$55
$2,810 ปริมาณ
94%
$52
$5,341 ปริมาณ
96%
$50
$7,169 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, intensified by US-Iran exchanges and partial closures disrupting Gulf exports, have embedded a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with June 2026 futures trading around $101 per barrel amid spot levels exceeding $102 as of May 13. The latest EIA report showed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, supporting bullish sentiment despite OPEC+'s May 3 decision to raise June quotas by 188,000 barrels per day—constrained by regional disruptions. Traders eye peak US summer driving season demand in June, weekly EIA updates, and potential OPEC+ reviews, with forecasts varying from $92–$115 amid softer global demand projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,794วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, intensified by US-Iran exchanges and partial closures disrupting Gulf exports, have embedded a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with June 2026 futures trading around $101 per barrel amid spot levels exceeding $102 as of May 13. The latest EIA report showed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, supporting bullish sentiment despite OPEC+'s May 3 decision to raise June quotas by 188,000 barrels per day—constrained by regional disruptions. Traders eye peak US summer driving season demand in June, weekly EIA updates, and potential OPEC+ reviews, with forecasts varying from $92–$115 amid softer global demand projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$120,794วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, intensified by US-Iran exchanges and partial closures disrupting Gulf exports, have embedded a substantial risk premium into WTI crude oil (CL) prices, with June 2026 futures trading around $101 per barrel amid spot levels exceeding $102 as of May 13. The latest EIA report showed a larger-than-expected 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels for the week ended May 8, supporting bullish sentiment despite OPEC+'s May 3 decision to raise June quotas by 188,000 barrels per day—constrained by regional disruptions. Traders eye peak US summer driving season demand in June, weekly EIA updates, and potential OPEC+ reviews, with forecasts varying from $92–$115 amid softer global demand projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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