Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว100-119 49.8%
120-139 26.6%
80-99 13.8%
140-159 7.2%
$7,453,416 ปริมาณ
$7,453,416 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
80-99
14%
100-119
50%
120-139
27%
140-159
7%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.8%
120-139 26.6%
80-99 13.8%
140-159 7.2%
$7,453,416 ปริมาณ
$7,453,416 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
80-99
$995,181 ปริมาณ
14%
100-119
$356,860 ปริมาณ
50%
120-139
$365,992 ปริมาณ
27%
140-159
$298,534 ปริมาณ
7%
160-179
$274,055 ปริมาณ
2%
180-199
$237,160 ปริมาณ
1%
200-219
$266,144 ปริมาณ
<1%
220-239
$221,847 ปริมาณ
<1%
240-259
$330,267 ปริมาณ
<1%
260-279
$255,455 ปริมาณ
<1%
280-299
$204,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
300-319
$206,664 ปริมาณ
<1%
320-339
$192,775 ปริมาณ
<1%
340-359
$63,239 ปริมาณ
<1%
360-379
$68,264 ปริมาณ
<1%
380-399
$62,389 ปริมาณ
<1%
400-419
$58,683 ปริมาณ
<1%
420-439
$118,926 ปริมาณ
<1%
440-459
$91,560 ปริมาณ
<1%
460-479
$117,006 ปริมาณ
<1%
480-499
$86,800 ปริมาณ
<1%
500+
$183,686 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,453,416วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,453,416วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 100-119 times from May 8-15 at 49.6% implied probability, driven by his tracked 48 posts through 57% of the period per XTracker data, averaging roughly 13 daily amid steady cultural and political engagement. Recent momentum stems from May 13 viral replies amplifying Oscars DEI controversies, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic deportations—hallmarks of Musk's signature "True" endorsements that rack up millions of views. With three days remaining to the May 15 close, no major distractions like trials have slowed his cadence, consistent with prior weeks' 100-139 brackets leading markets; a news spike could push toward 140+, but historical patterns hold the lower bins as frontrunners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย