Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $2.52 billion worldwide haul, including the largest domestic opening weekend ever at $360 million, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 84.5% implied probability. Released in late July, the Tom Holland-led Marvel title quickly surpassed prior franchise benchmarks and sits more than $700 million ahead of the next closest 2026 release, leaving minimal runway for December contenders. Avengers: Doomsday holds the distant second slot at 15.3% on the strength of robust presales and December 18 positioning, yet analysts note its projected total is unlikely to close the gap before year-end. Remaining titles, including Wicked: For Good and The Odyssey, register negligible odds given current standings and release timing.