Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market position for the biggest 2026 opening weekend because of its status as a major MCU crossover event with built-in franchise momentum and broad audience draw. Traders see this as the clear frontrunner over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which carries solid brand recognition yet remains a single-character installment within the same universe. Animated titles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie deliver reliable family appeal but historically post lower opening numbers than live-action blockbusters. Sequels such as Dune: Messiah and The Mandalorian and Grogu film rely on dedicated followings, while later entries like The Odyssey and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper competition for prime release slots. Marketing campaigns, trailer performance, and final release date adjustments will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วภาพยนตร์เรื่องใดมีวันหยุดสุดสัปดาห์ที่ยิ่งใหญ่ที่สุดในปี 2026?
ภาพยนตร์เรื่องใดมีวันหยุดสุดสัปดาห์ที่ยิ่งใหญ่ที่สุดในปี 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 ปริมาณ
$1,570,601 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
16%
Toy Story 5
3%
Dune: Messiah
2%
The Odyssey
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
ภาพยนตร์ Super Mario Galaxy
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16%
Toy Story 5 3.1%
Dune: Messiah 1.8%
$1,570,601 ปริมาณ
$1,570,601 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$118,538 ปริมาณ
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$43,475 ปริมาณ
16%
Toy Story 5
$181,713 ปริมาณ
3%
Dune: Messiah
$85,145 ปริมาณ
2%
The Odyssey
$146,947 ปริมาณ
2%
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$34,371 ปริมาณ
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$59,114 ปริมาณ
1%
ภาพยนตร์ Super Mario Galaxy
$18,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market position for the biggest 2026 opening weekend because of its status as a major MCU crossover event with built-in franchise momentum and broad audience draw. Traders see this as the clear frontrunner over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which carries solid brand recognition yet remains a single-character installment within the same universe. Animated titles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie deliver reliable family appeal but historically post lower opening numbers than live-action blockbusters. Sequels such as Dune: Messiah and The Mandalorian and Grogu film rely on dedicated followings, while later entries like The Odyssey and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper competition for prime release slots. Marketing campaigns, trailer performance, and final release date adjustments will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,570,601วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market position for the biggest 2026 opening weekend because of its status as a major MCU crossover event with built-in franchise momentum and broad audience draw. Traders see this as the clear frontrunner over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which carries solid brand recognition yet remains a single-character installment within the same universe. Animated titles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie deliver reliable family appeal but historically post lower opening numbers than live-action blockbusters. Sequels such as Dune: Messiah and The Mandalorian and Grogu film rely on dedicated followings, while later entries like The Odyssey and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper competition for prime release slots. Marketing campaigns, trailer performance, and final release date adjustments will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,570,601วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Avengers: Doomsday holds the strongest market position for the biggest 2026 opening weekend because of its status as a major MCU crossover event with built-in franchise momentum and broad audience draw. Traders see this as the clear frontrunner over Spider-Man: Brand New Day, which carries solid brand recognition yet remains a single-character installment within the same universe. Animated titles like Toy Story 5 and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie deliver reliable family appeal but historically post lower opening numbers than live-action blockbusters. Sequels such as Dune: Messiah and The Mandalorian and Grogu film rely on dedicated followings, while later entries like The Odyssey and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping face steeper competition for prime release slots. Marketing campaigns, trailer performance, and final release date adjustments will likely drive any shifts in these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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