**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic debut in late July has anchored trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, giving it the highest implied probability at 54.5%.** Its $932 million global launch, driven by strong presales, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive reviews, and an A CinemaScore, established a new benchmark that only Avengers: Endgame previously approached. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 43.5% as the main rival, with presales already exceeding $50 million three months out, holiday positioning on December 18, and massive multiverse hype including Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom fueling projections of $260–300 million or higher. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether Doomsday will top the chart or land second behind Spider-Man, while the cluster of other titles at 50% and minimal odds for Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah highlight how few 2026 releases are expected to reach comparable event levels. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late tracking updates that could shift momentum before year-end box-office resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$121,188 ปริมาณ
$121,188 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
44%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 55%
Avengers: Doomsday 44%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$121,188 ปริมาณ
$121,188 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$62,860 ปริมาณ
55%
Avengers: Doomsday
$45,596 ปริมาณ
44%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$8,291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic debut in late July has anchored trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, giving it the highest implied probability at 54.5%.** Its $932 million global launch, driven by strong presales, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive reviews, and an A CinemaScore, established a new benchmark that only Avengers: Endgame previously approached. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 43.5% as the main rival, with presales already exceeding $50 million three months out, holiday positioning on December 18, and massive multiverse hype including Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom fueling projections of $260–300 million or higher. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether Doomsday will top the chart or land second behind Spider-Man, while the cluster of other titles at 50% and minimal odds for Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah highlight how few 2026 releases are expected to reach comparable event levels. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late tracking updates that could shift momentum before year-end box-office resolution.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,188วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic debut in late July has anchored trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, giving it the highest implied probability at 54.5%.** Its $932 million global launch, driven by strong presales, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive reviews, and an A CinemaScore, established a new benchmark that only Avengers: Endgame previously approached. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 43.5% as the main rival, with presales already exceeding $50 million three months out, holiday positioning on December 18, and massive multiverse hype including Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom fueling projections of $260–300 million or higher. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether Doomsday will top the chart or land second behind Spider-Man, while the cluster of other titles at 50% and minimal odds for Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah highlight how few 2026 releases are expected to reach comparable event levels. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late tracking updates that could shift momentum before year-end box-office resolution.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$121,188วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic debut in late July has anchored trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 opening weekend, giving it the highest implied probability at 54.5%.** Its $932 million global launch, driven by strong presales, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, positive reviews, and an A CinemaScore, established a new benchmark that only Avengers: Endgame previously approached. Avengers: Doomsday sits at 43.5% as the main rival, with presales already exceeding $50 million three months out, holiday positioning on December 18, and massive multiverse hype including Robert Downey Jr.’s return as Doctor Doom fueling projections of $260–300 million or higher. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether Doomsday will top the chart or land second behind Spider-Man, while the cluster of other titles at 50% and minimal odds for Toy Story 5, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, and Dune: Messiah highlight how few 2026 releases are expected to reach comparable event levels. Key upcoming catalysts include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late tracking updates that could shift momentum before year-end box-office resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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