Musk’s posting volume has shown sharp month-to-month swings, with August 2026 resolving in the 880-919 range after consistent political and business commentary, while recent September windows have settled far lower in the 40-64 or 160-179 brackets. This variability, combined with October’s open calendar and no confirmed major triggers yet, keeps the field wide open, pushing the highest implied probability to the 1000+ outcome at 26.5 percent while clustering several 840-999 bins near 11.5 percent each. Trader sentiment hinges on whether sustained engagement with policy debates, Tesla or xAI developments, or quieter stretches will dominate the 31-day period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1000+ 27%
880-919 14%
960-999 12%
920-959 11%
$71,038 ปริมาณ
$71,038 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
2%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
1%
620-639
4%
640-659
4%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
4%
780-799
6%
800-839
11%
840-879
11%
880-919
14%
920-959
11%
960-999
12%
1000+
27%
1000+ 27%
880-919 14%
960-999 12%
920-959 11%
$71,038 ปริมาณ
$71,038 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
<20
$525 ปริมาณ
<1%
20-39
$435 ปริมาณ
<1%
40-59
$430 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-79
$445 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-99
$440 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-119
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
120-139
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
140-159
$510 ปริมาณ
<1%
160-179
$315 ปริมาณ
<1%
180-199
$500 ปริมาณ
<1%
200-219
$490 ปริมาณ
<1%
220-239
$415 ปริมาณ
<1%
240-259
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
260-279
$415 ปริมาณ
<1%
280-299
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
300-319
$497 ปริมาณ
<1%
320-339
$497 ปริมาณ
<1%
340-359
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
360-379
$510 ปริมาณ
<1%
380-399
$495 ปริมาณ
<1%
400-419
$805 ปริมาณ
<1%
420-439
$1,395 ปริมาณ
<1%
440-459
$475 ปริมาณ
<1%
460-479
$1,543 ปริมาณ
2%
480-499
$1,970 ปริมาณ
<1%
500-519
$757 ปริมาณ
1%
520-539
$696 ปริมาณ
<1%
540-559
$592 ปริมาณ
<1%
560-579
$557 ปริมาณ
<1%
580-599
$1,845 ปริมาณ
<1%
600-619
$888 ปริมาณ
1%
620-639
$1,103 ปริมาณ
4%
640-659
$933 ปริมาณ
4%
660-679
$1,029 ปริมาณ
1%
680-699
$930 ปริมาณ
1%
700-719
$1,812 ปริมาณ
2%
720-739
$1,930 ปริมาณ
2%
740-759
$1,053 ปริมาณ
3%
760-779
$1,448 ปริมาณ
4%
780-799
$2,788 ปริมาณ
6%
800-839
$8,116 ปริมาณ
11%
840-879
$5,819 ปริมาณ
11%
880-919
$7,461 ปริมาณ
14%
920-959
$6,403 ปริมาณ
11%
960-999
$4,905 ปริมาณ
12%
1000+
$4,371 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s posting volume has shown sharp month-to-month swings, with August 2026 resolving in the 880-919 range after consistent political and business commentary, while recent September windows have settled far lower in the 40-64 or 160-179 brackets. This variability, combined with October’s open calendar and no confirmed major triggers yet, keeps the field wide open, pushing the highest implied probability to the 1000+ outcome at 26.5 percent while clustering several 840-999 bins near 11.5 percent each. Trader sentiment hinges on whether sustained engagement with policy debates, Tesla or xAI developments, or quieter stretches will dominate the 31-day period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,038วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Musk’s posting volume has shown sharp month-to-month swings, with August 2026 resolving in the 880-919 range after consistent political and business commentary, while recent September windows have settled far lower in the 40-64 or 160-179 brackets. This variability, combined with October’s open calendar and no confirmed major triggers yet, keeps the field wide open, pushing the highest implied probability to the 1000+ outcome at 26.5 percent while clustering several 840-999 bins near 11.5 percent each. Trader sentiment hinges on whether sustained engagement with policy debates, Tesla or xAI developments, or quieter stretches will dominate the 31-day period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,038วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Musk’s posting volume has shown sharp month-to-month swings, with August 2026 resolving in the 880-919 range after consistent political and business commentary, while recent September windows have settled far lower in the 40-64 or 160-179 brackets. This variability, combined with October’s open calendar and no confirmed major triggers yet, keeps the field wide open, pushing the highest implied probability to the 1000+ outcome at 26.5 percent while clustering several 840-999 bins near 11.5 percent each. Trader sentiment hinges on whether sustained engagement with policy debates, Tesla or xAI developments, or quieter stretches will dominate the 31-day period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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