Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEmmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%
$29,513 ปริมาณ
$29,513 ปริมาณ
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
Jean Smart – “Hacks” 91.1%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback” 4.5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.7%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear” 2.4%
$29,513 ปริมาณ
$29,513 ปริมาณ
Jean Smart – “Hacks”
91%
Lisa Kudrow – “The Comeback”
5%
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
2%
Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
1%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Jean Smart's commanding 91% market-implied probability for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series stems from her four consecutive wins playing Deborah Vance on *Hacks*, now in its final season with a record 24 Emmy nominations. Industry consensus highlights her consistent critical acclaim, strong guild and precursor support, and the emotional weight of concluding the show's run, aligning with historical Emmy patterns favoring established frontrunners in final seasons. Lisa Kudrow's return in *The Comeback* and other nominees like Elle Fanning, Ayo Edebiri, and Quinta Brunson trail due to lower nomination volume and less dominant momentum. An upset would require a rare voter backlash against Smart's streak or a late surge for Kudrow's legacy appeal ahead of the September 14 ceremony, though current trader consensus views such shifts as unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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