Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 67.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final frontrunner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances that wowed press and audience polls, blending Vanessa Mae-style violin flair with disco energy for broad jury and televote appeal. Greece's Akylas climbed to 14.5% on a late surge from "Ferto's" provocative staging critiquing greed and overconsumption, impressing in final rehearsals despite stiff competition. Israel's Noam Bettan holds 12% with the emotive, multilingual "Michelle," navigating boycott backlash and reported boos through resilient fan support. Croatia trails at 6.1% on punchy public vote potential, as traders await full voting breakdowns post-Grand Final on May 16 amid shifting post-semi momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final Winner
Finland 68%
Greece 15%
Israel 12%
Croatia 6.0%
$204,972 ปริมาณ
$204,972 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
Finland
68%
Greece
15%
Israel
12%
Croatia
6%
Moldova
3%
Lithuania
1%
Serbia
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Poland
<1%
Georgia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Belgium
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Finland 68%
Greece 15%
Israel 12%
Croatia 6.0%
$204,972 ปริมาณ
$204,972 ปริมาณ
May 12, 2026
Finland
$24,779 ปริมาณ
68%
Greece
$19,229 ปริมาณ
15%
Israel
$12,930 ปริมาณ
12%
Croatia
$22,115 ปริมาณ
6%
Moldova
$24,922 ปริมาณ
3%
Lithuania
$13,757 ปริมาณ
1%
Serbia
$10,985 ปริมาณ
<1%
Sweden
$13,920 ปริมาณ
<1%
Poland
$14,890 ปริมาณ
<1%
Georgia
$8,374 ปริมาณ
<1%
San Marino
$7,360 ปริมาณ
<1%
Belgium
$7,799 ปริมาณ
<1%
Estonia
$7,600 ปริมาณ
<1%
Montenegro
$7,147 ปริมาณ
<1%
Portugal
$9,164 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 67.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final frontrunner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances that wowed press and audience polls, blending Vanessa Mae-style violin flair with disco energy for broad jury and televote appeal. Greece's Akylas climbed to 14.5% on a late surge from "Ferto's" provocative staging critiquing greed and overconsumption, impressing in final rehearsals despite stiff competition. Israel's Noam Bettan holds 12% with the emotive, multilingual "Michelle," navigating boycott backlash and reported boos through resilient fan support. Croatia trails at 6.1% on punchy public vote potential, as traders await full voting breakdowns post-Grand Final on May 16 amid shifting post-semi momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$204,972วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 67.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final frontrunner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances that wowed press and audience polls, blending Vanessa Mae-style violin flair with disco energy for broad jury and televote appeal. Greece's Akylas climbed to 14.5% on a late surge from "Ferto's" provocative staging critiquing greed and overconsumption, impressing in final rehearsals despite stiff competition. Israel's Noam Bettan holds 12% with the emotive, multilingual "Michelle," navigating boycott backlash and reported boos through resilient fan support. Croatia trails at 6.1% on punchy public vote potential, as traders await full voting breakdowns post-Grand Final on May 16 amid shifting post-semi momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed country whose candidate wins the most points at the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win the most points at the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no ranking is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$204,972วันสิ้นสุด
May 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 7, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 67.5% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final frontrunner, driven by dominant dress rehearsal performances that wowed press and audience polls, blending Vanessa Mae-style violin flair with disco energy for broad jury and televote appeal. Greece's Akylas climbed to 14.5% on a late surge from "Ferto's" provocative staging critiquing greed and overconsumption, impressing in final rehearsals despite stiff competition. Israel's Noam Bettan holds 12% with the emotive, multilingual "Michelle," navigating boycott backlash and reported boos through resilient fan support. Croatia trails at 6.1% on punchy public vote potential, as traders await full voting breakdowns post-Grand Final on May 16 amid shifting post-semi momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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