Republican Ashley Moody holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent seeking to complete Marco Rubio’s term through 2028. Recent polls from April and May 2026 show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points in a state with a long Republican tilt. Primaries on August 18 will narrow the field before the November 3 general election, where Moody benefits from name recognition and the state’s partisan voting patterns. Democrats have posted stronger fundraising, yet polling averages and historical Senate results in Florida continue to favor the Republican nominee at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$37,324 ปริมาณ
$37,324 ปริมาณ
Republican
81%
Democrat
18%
$37,324 ปริมาณ
$37,324 ปริมาณ
Republican
$19,980 ปริมาณ
81%
Democrat
$17,344 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent seeking to complete Marco Rubio’s term through 2028. Recent polls from April and May 2026 show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points in a state with a long Republican tilt. Primaries on August 18 will narrow the field before the November 3 general election, where Moody benefits from name recognition and the state’s partisan voting patterns. Democrats have posted stronger fundraising, yet polling averages and historical Senate results in Florida continue to favor the Republican nominee at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,324ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent seeking to complete Marco Rubio’s term through 2028. Recent polls from April and May 2026 show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points in a state with a long Republican tilt. Primaries on August 18 will narrow the field before the November 3 general election, where Moody benefits from name recognition and the state’s partisan voting patterns. Democrats have posted stronger fundraising, yet polling averages and historical Senate results in Florida continue to favor the Republican nominee at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,324ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody holds an 80.5% implied probability in the Florida special Senate election as the appointed incumbent seeking to complete Marco Rubio’s term through 2028. Recent polls from April and May 2026 show Moody leading Democratic contenders such as Alexander Vindman or Angie Nixon by 7 to 13 points in a state with a long Republican tilt. Primaries on August 18 will narrow the field before the November 3 general election, where Moody benefits from name recognition and the state’s partisan voting patterns. Democrats have posted stronger fundraising, yet polling averages and historical Senate results in Florida continue to favor the Republican nominee at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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