**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22°C (53%).** A building high-pressure system and light southerly flow are expected to replace earlier westerly winds, limiting daytime heating while keeping conditions mostly dry and partly cloudy. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster afternoon maxima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F), with limited upside potential unless clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Historical early-September averages near 20–21°C provide context, but the current setup favors a modest rebound from the cooler, breezy conditions of September 4–5. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable, near-normal pattern while acknowledging small model spread around cloud timing and exact peak values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 52%
23°C 21%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
$11,102 ปริมาณ
$11,102 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
52%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
4%
22°C 52%
23°C 21%
21°C 16%
24°C 5%
$11,102 ปริมาณ
$11,102 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
52%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a highest temperature of 21–23°C in Amsterdam on September 6, 2026, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on 22°C (53%).** A building high-pressure system and light southerly flow are expected to replace earlier westerly winds, limiting daytime heating while keeping conditions mostly dry and partly cloudy. Official guidance and ensemble runs cluster afternoon maxima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F), with limited upside potential unless clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Historical early-September averages near 20–21°C provide context, but the current setup favors a modest rebound from the cooler, breezy conditions of September 4–5. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable, near-normal pattern while acknowledging small model spread around cloud timing and exact peak values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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