Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on June 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 28?
27°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$60,421 ปริมาณ
$60,421 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
$60,421 ปริมาณ
$60,421 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
23°C or below
$1,733 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,446 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5,853 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$6,253 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$12,305 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$15,211 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$5,166 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$4,390 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,936 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,760 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,367 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,421วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,421วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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