Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 28?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 28?
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
$10,019 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,019 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
29%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 28%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
ใหม่
$10,019 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,019 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
26°C or below
$793 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$525 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$676 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$455 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$504 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$534 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$591 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$3,559 ปริมาณ
28%
34°C
$702 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$780 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$899 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,019วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,019วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a narrow band of possible daily maximum temperatures for Guangzhou on June 28, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds peaking at 32°C. Subtropical monsoon dynamics, including variable afternoon convection, cloud cover, and onshore flow from the South China Sea, create the primary forecast uncertainty. Typical late-June climatology features highs near 32°C, though the urban heat island effect in this densely built coastal city can add 1–2°C to daytime peaks under clear skies. Divergent model solutions on precipitation timing and wind strength differentiate the 31–34°C outcomes, with new guidance from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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