Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on June 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,971 ปริมาณ
$95,971 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$95,971 ปริมาณ
$95,971 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
31°C or below
$2,083 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,526 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$11,056 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$15,370 ปริมาณ
100%
35°C
$18,728 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$12,312 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$19,247 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$2,747 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$1,280 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$7,981 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,640 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,971วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,971วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model runs, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over central Europe supporting daytime maxima near 34–35 °C in Munich on 26 June, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Surface observations from the past 48 hours show temperatures already reaching 32–33 °C under mostly clear skies and light easterly flow, while 850 hPa temperature anomalies remain 4–6 °C above the June climatological mean. Key uncertainties stem from the precise timing of any weak trough passage that could enhance cloud cover or trigger isolated convection, potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2 °C, versus stronger subsidence that would favor the upper tail near 36 °C. Resolution hinges on the official DWD station reading at Munich, with ensemble spread still allowing modest probability mass across the 33–36 °C range two days before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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