Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on June 26?
Highest temperature in London on June 26?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,502 ปริมาณ
$307,502 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,502 ปริมาณ
$307,502 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
32°C or below
$29,199 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$26,589 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$31,777 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$62,412 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$50,234 ปริมาณ
100%
37°C
$43,857 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$30,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$12,457 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$4,628 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C
$3,226 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$12,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$307,502วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$307,502วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย