Recent forecasts from official sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on September 3, with southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to around 31–33°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 33°C (34%) and 32°C (33%) outcomes, reflecting model consensus on peak solar insolation under stable high pressure before typical early-autumn cooling. Historical averages near 28.6°C provide context, yet current subtropical ridge influence and low precipitation probability sustain warmer readings. Minor divergences among ensemble runs—such as subtle wind shifts or boundary-layer moisture—account for the tight spread across 31–34°C probabilities, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 34%
31°C 14%
30°C 8%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
14%
32°C
33%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 1, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions over Beijing on September 3, with southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to around 31–33°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on the closely matched 33°C (34%) and 32°C (33%) outcomes, reflecting model consensus on peak solar insolation under stable high pressure before typical early-autumn cooling. Historical averages near 28.6°C provide context, yet current subtropical ridge influence and low precipitation probability sustain warmer readings. Minor divergences among ensemble runs—such as subtle wind shifts or boundary-layer moisture—account for the tight spread across 31–34°C probabilities, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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