Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$22,022 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,022 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
9%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$22,022 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,022 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$395 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$343 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,035 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$306 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$628 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$1,055 ปริมาณ
13%
36°C
$10,200 ปริมาณ
37%
37°C
$3,946 ปริมาณ
43%
38°C
$2,148 ปริมาณ
9%
39°C or higher
$1,592 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,022วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,022วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models point to a peak daytime temperature of 36–37°C in Guangzhou on August 6, driven by a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect in this subtropical monsoon climate could push observed maxima toward the upper end of that range, consistent with August climatology showing typical highs near 33–35°C. Close market-implied odds between 36°C and 37°C reflect genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, sea-breeze timing, and localized convective development, with new model runs and official China Meteorological Administration updates expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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