**Trader sentiment for Manila’s July 31 high temperature centers on the 31–33 °C range because official forecasts and climatology converge there amid the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks for July 31 project a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C with 60 % rain chance and persistent cloud cover, while historical July averages sit near 31–32 °C. These conditions—high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation—typically cap peak readings and produce a narrow distribution of outcomes. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 34 °C+ probabilities low and sub-30 °C outcomes unlikely. The tight split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of convection, which can shave 1–2 °C off the maximum on any given day. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on July 31?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 31?
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
38%
33°C
30%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 30%
34°C 15%
31°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2026
29°C or below
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$281 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$84 ปริมาณ
11%
32°C
$443 ปริมาณ
38%
33°C
$331 ปริมาณ
30%
34°C
$1,018 ปริมาณ
15%
35°C
$167 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$50 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$25 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$319 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$319 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s July 31 high temperature centers on the 31–33 °C range because official forecasts and climatology converge there amid the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks for July 31 project a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C with 60 % rain chance and persistent cloud cover, while historical July averages sit near 31–32 °C. These conditions—high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation—typically cap peak readings and produce a narrow distribution of outcomes.
Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 34 °C+ probabilities low and sub-30 °C outcomes unlikely. The tight split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of convection, which can shave 1–2 °C off the maximum on any given day. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,114วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Manila’s July 31 high temperature centers on the 31–33 °C range because official forecasts and climatology converge there amid the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks for July 31 project a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C with 60 % rain chance and persistent cloud cover, while historical July averages sit near 31–32 °C. These conditions—high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation—typically cap peak readings and produce a narrow distribution of outcomes.
Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 34 °C+ probabilities low and sub-30 °C outcomes unlikely. The tight split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of convection, which can shave 1–2 °C off the maximum on any given day. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,114วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Manila’s July 31 high temperature centers on the 31–33 °C range because official forecasts and climatology converge there amid the southwest monsoon.** PAGASA outlooks for July 31 project a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C with 60 % rain chance and persistent cloud cover, while historical July averages sit near 31–32 °C. These conditions—high humidity, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and reduced solar insolation—typically cap peak readings and produce a narrow distribution of outcomes. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, keeping 34 °C+ probabilities low and sub-30 °C outcomes unlikely. The tight split between 31 °C and 32 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of convection, which can shave 1–2 °C off the maximum on any given day. Updated PAGASA and global model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts that shift probabilities among these adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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