Recent forecast models indicate Moscow will experience a modest cooldown on August 3 following warmer conditions the prior day, with projected daily maxima centered on 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. These outcomes reflect ensemble guidance from global numerical weather prediction systems showing modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, driven by southeasterly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air and reduced insolation from mid-level moisture. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 23 °C, so current model consensus implies a modest positive anomaly tempered by synoptic evolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between leading outcomes against potential shifts in 48-hour model runs or observational updates from regional stations, where small changes in timing of frontal passage or cloud thickness could alter the observed maximum by 1–2 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 3?
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 15%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
25°C 32%
26°C 29%
27°C 21%
24°C 15%
21°C or below
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
15%
25°C
32%
26°C
29%
27°C
21%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate Moscow will experience a modest cooldown on August 3 following warmer conditions the prior day, with projected daily maxima centered on 25–27 °C amid increasing cloud cover and possible early showers. These outcomes reflect ensemble guidance from global numerical weather prediction systems showing modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, driven by southeasterly flow advecting slightly cooler maritime air and reduced insolation from mid-level moisture. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 23 °C, so current model consensus implies a modest positive anomaly tempered by synoptic evolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow gap between leading outcomes against potential shifts in 48-hour model runs or observational updates from regional stations, where small changes in timing of frontal passage or cloud thickness could alter the observed maximum by 1–2 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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