Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited daytime heating from moderate June solar insolation at 48°N latitude. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 25.5%, as ensembles show tight clustering around these values with minor spread from variable cloud cover. Recent model runs have remained stable, reflecting typical mid-June conditions without strong high-pressure amplification or Atlantic fronts that could push extremes. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 18% combined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 40%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 9%
ใหม่
$11,636 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,636 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
26%
22°C
40%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 40%
21°C 26%
23°C 13%
20°C 9%
ใหม่
$11,636 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,636 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
16°C or below
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,015 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$631 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$2,240 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$1,782 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$1,077 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$1,157 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$1,167 ปริมาณ
13%
24°C
$507 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$1,025 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$886 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited daytime heating from moderate June solar insolation at 48°N latitude. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 25.5%, as ensembles show tight clustering around these values with minor spread from variable cloud cover. Recent model runs have remained stable, reflecting typical mid-June conditions without strong high-pressure amplification or Atlantic fronts that could push extremes. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 18% combined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,636วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited daytime heating from moderate June solar insolation at 48°N latitude. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 25.5%, as ensembles show tight clustering around these values with minor spread from variable cloud cover. Recent model runs have remained stable, reflecting typical mid-June conditions without strong high-pressure amplification or Atlantic fronts that could push extremes. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 18% combined.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,636วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including those from the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Munich on June 15, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and limited daytime heating from moderate June solar insolation at 48°N latitude. This positions 22°C as the market leader at 39.5% implied probability, followed by 21°C at 25.5%, as ensembles show tight clustering around these values with minor spread from variable cloud cover. Recent model runs have remained stable, reflecting typical mid-June conditions without strong high-pressure amplification or Atlantic fronts that could push extremes. Traders appear to weigh this consensus against residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any showers, keeping probabilities for 23°C or higher below 18% combined.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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