Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a high of 25–26°C for Paris on September 23 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with light northeasterly flow advecting dry continental air and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, consistent with late-September climatology when solar angles decline yet clear skies allow efficient insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with the upper end of current guidance, while the 28% on 25°C accounts for minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, though final NHC-adjacent pressure and temperature observations on the day will determine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 23?
26°C 53%
25°C 28%
27°C 12%
24°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
28%
26°C
53%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 28%
27°C 12%
24°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
28%
26°C
53%
27°C
12%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate a high of 25–26°C for Paris on September 23 under stable anticyclonic conditions, with light northeasterly flow advecting dry continental air and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors modest daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, consistent with late-September climatology when solar angles decline yet clear skies allow efficient insolation. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52.5% implied probability for 26°C, aligns with the upper end of current guidance, while the 28% on 25°C accounts for minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing. No significant synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, though final NHC-adjacent pressure and temperature observations on the day will determine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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