The strengthening high-pressure ridge and associated heat advisory through July 22 are driving trader focus toward 90–93°F outcomes, as subsidence and clear skies promote strong daytime heating amid 850 mb temperatures climbing toward 22–24°C. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently cluster Seattle highs in the upper 80s to low 90s—well above the July climatological average near 78–79°F—while noting modest uncertainty from marine layer timing or minor cloud cover that could cap peaks. Recent model runs showing this warming trend have shifted implied probabilities away from near-normal ranges, with the market consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these short-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on July 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on July 22?
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
88-89°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
24%
92-93°F
43%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 43%
90-91°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
88-89°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
83°F or below
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$94 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$62 ปริมาณ
2%
88-89°F
$347 ปริมาณ
8%
90-91°F
$113 ปริมาณ
24%
92-93°F
$451 ปริมาณ
43%
94-95°F
$230 ปริมาณ
22%
96-97°F
$292 ปริมาณ
5%
98-99°F
$2,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$113 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The strengthening high-pressure ridge and associated heat advisory through July 22 are driving trader focus toward 90–93°F outcomes, as subsidence and clear skies promote strong daytime heating amid 850 mb temperatures climbing toward 22–24°C. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently cluster Seattle highs in the upper 80s to low 90s—well above the July climatological average near 78–79°F—while noting modest uncertainty from marine layer timing or minor cloud cover that could cap peaks. Recent model runs showing this warming trend have shifted implied probabilities away from near-normal ranges, with the market consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these short-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,688วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The strengthening high-pressure ridge and associated heat advisory through July 22 are driving trader focus toward 90–93°F outcomes, as subsidence and clear skies promote strong daytime heating amid 850 mb temperatures climbing toward 22–24°C. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently cluster Seattle highs in the upper 80s to low 90s—well above the July climatological average near 78–79°F—while noting modest uncertainty from marine layer timing or minor cloud cover that could cap peaks. Recent model runs showing this warming trend have shifted implied probabilities away from near-normal ranges, with the market consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these short-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,688วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The strengthening high-pressure ridge and associated heat advisory through July 22 are driving trader focus toward 90–93°F outcomes, as subsidence and clear skies promote strong daytime heating amid 850 mb temperatures climbing toward 22–24°C. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently cluster Seattle highs in the upper 80s to low 90s—well above the July climatological average near 78–79°F—while noting modest uncertainty from marine layer timing or minor cloud cover that could cap peaks. Recent model runs showing this warming trend have shifted implied probabilities away from near-normal ranges, with the market consensus reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of these short-term atmospheric conditions ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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