Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 31?
36°C 40%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
ใหม่
$15,105 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,105 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
20%
36°C
40%
37°C
27%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 40%
37°C 27%
35°C 20%
38°C 11%
ใหม่
$15,105 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,105 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
31°C or below
$103 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$334 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,274 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$1,499 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$4,455 ปริมาณ
20%
36°C
$1,234 ปริมาณ
40%
37°C
$1,285 ปริมาณ
27%
38°C
$2,229 ปริมาณ
11%
39°C
$1,639 ปริมาณ
2%
40°C
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$709 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,105วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,105วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and sources like timeanddate and BBC indicate Shanghai's July 31 maximum will likely reach 37–39°C amid peak summer conditions after the plum rain season, with abundant sunshine and high humidity driving heat buildup. The close market split between 37°C and 36°C reflects model uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and cloud cover, which can trim peaks by 1–2°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 38°C. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble spreads emphasize this narrow range, as urban heat island effects and weak steering patterns add variability. Traders weigh historical July maxima near 35–38°C against the latest 48-hour model runs, with resolution hinging on the precise daily high recorded at standard stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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