Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 1?
32°C 29%
33°C 20%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
12%
32°C
29%
33°C
20%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 29%
33°C 20%
34°C 19%
31°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 1, 2026
27°C or below
$1,986 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
32°C
$25 ปริมาณ
29%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$16 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
36°C
$11 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C or higher
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for early July places Shenzhen's maximum temperatures near the long-term July average of 32°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon regime, where high humidity, sea surface temperatures above 28°C in the South China Sea, and daytime heating drive peak readings. Subtle differences between the leading 32°C and 33°C outcomes hinge on forecast details such as cloud cover timing, afternoon convective showers that can cap surface heating, and steering influences from the western Pacific subtropical high. Broader southern China patterns of above-average early-summer rainfall have introduced modest cooling potential, keeping probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these narrow margins ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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