Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 23?
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
38°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
25%
36°C
32%
37°C
21%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 32%
35°C 25%
37°C 21%
38°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 23, 2026
29°C or below
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$140 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C
$62 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$686 ปริมาณ
32%
37°C
$170 ปริมาณ
21%
38°C
$206 ปริมาณ
10%
39°C or higher
$3,113 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,721วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,721วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble model runs point to a persistent Pacific High driving subsidence and warm-air advection over the Kanto region, sustaining daytime maxima in the mid-30s for July 23. Subtle differences in forecast wind speeds, boundary-layer mixing, and possible thin cloud cover create the narrow spread among 35–37 °C outcomes, with urban heat-island effects in central Tokyo adding a further 1–2 °C locally. Above-normal seasonal temperatures this July reflect the broader pattern, yet day-to-day variability in steering flow keeps the market-implied odds tightly clustered rather than favoring any single value. Updated JMA three-day and numerical guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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