**Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny conditions and a 17°C high on September 22 drives the 47.5% market-implied odds on that exact outcome.** Multiple numerical weather models and private forecasts align closely, projecting afternoon highs between 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) under partly to mostly clear skies with persistent northeast winds advecting cooler, drier air. This setup follows a recent cool front that dropped daytime maxima from the low 20s°C earlier in the weekend. Historical climatology for late September shows average highs near 20°C, so the current pattern reflects below-normal temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance and model consensus heavily while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact observation timing or localized heating that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 22?
17°C 49%
16°C 24%
18°C 21%
15°C 5.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
24%
17°C
49%
18°C
21%
19°C
5%
20°C
5%
21°C or higher
4%
17°C 49%
16°C 24%
18°C 21%
15°C 5.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
12°C
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$43 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$48 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$58 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$150 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$205 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$230 ปริมาณ
21%
19°C
$53 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$53 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny conditions and a 17°C high on September 22 drives the 47.5% market-implied odds on that exact outcome.** Multiple numerical weather models and private forecasts align closely, projecting afternoon highs between 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) under partly to mostly clear skies with persistent northeast winds advecting cooler, drier air. This setup follows a recent cool front that dropped daytime maxima from the low 20s°C earlier in the weekend. Historical climatology for late September shows average highs near 20°C, so the current pattern reflects below-normal temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance and model consensus heavily while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact observation timing or localized heating that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny conditions and a 17°C high on September 22 drives the 47.5% market-implied odds on that exact outcome.** Multiple numerical weather models and private forecasts align closely, projecting afternoon highs between 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) under partly to mostly clear skies with persistent northeast winds advecting cooler, drier air. This setup follows a recent cool front that dropped daytime maxima from the low 20s°C earlier in the weekend. Historical climatology for late September shows average highs near 20°C, so the current pattern reflects below-normal temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance and model consensus heavily while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact observation timing or localized heating that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$996วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Environment Canada’s official forecast for sunny conditions and a 17°C high on September 22 drives the 47.5% market-implied odds on that exact outcome.** Multiple numerical weather models and private forecasts align closely, projecting afternoon highs between 16–17°C (about 61–63°F) under partly to mostly clear skies with persistent northeast winds advecting cooler, drier air. This setup follows a recent cool front that dropped daytime maxima from the low 20s°C earlier in the weekend. Historical climatology for late September shows average highs near 20°C, so the current pattern reflects below-normal temperatures. Traders appear to weigh the official guidance and model consensus heavily while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact observation timing or localized heating that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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