Short-range forecasts from agencies and models currently favor a July 23 high of 32–33°C in Wuhan, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. In this subtropical monsoon climate, the post-plum-rain transition brings variable steering flows, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of convection. Urban heat-island effects from the city’s numerous lakes and dense development further modulate readings at official stations, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the observed uncertainty between 31°C and 34°C. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh the latest model runs and potential for brief clear-sky intensification when assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 23?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 23?
33°C 35%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
22%
33°C
35%
34°C
24%
35°C
11%
36°C or higher
2%
33°C 35%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
35°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 23, 2026
26°C or below
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$48 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$174 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$39 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$39 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$70 ปริมาณ
22%
33°C
$141 ปริมาณ
35%
34°C
$132 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$188 ปริมาณ
11%
36°C or higher
$414 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies and models currently favor a July 23 high of 32–33°C in Wuhan, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. In this subtropical monsoon climate, the post-plum-rain transition brings variable steering flows, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of convection. Urban heat-island effects from the city’s numerous lakes and dense development further modulate readings at official stations, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the observed uncertainty between 31°C and 34°C. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh the latest model runs and potential for brief clear-sky intensification when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,548วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from agencies and models currently favor a July 23 high of 32–33°C in Wuhan, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. In this subtropical monsoon climate, the post-plum-rain transition brings variable steering flows, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of convection. Urban heat-island effects from the city’s numerous lakes and dense development further modulate readings at official stations, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the observed uncertainty between 31°C and 34°C. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh the latest model runs and potential for brief clear-sky intensification when assessing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,548วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from agencies and models currently favor a July 23 high of 32–33°C in Wuhan, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. In this subtropical monsoon climate, the post-plum-rain transition brings variable steering flows, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that can suppress or enhance afternoon peaks by 1–2°C depending on cloud cover and timing of convection. Urban heat-island effects from the city’s numerous lakes and dense development further modulate readings at official stations, while ensemble spread in guidance creates the observed uncertainty between 31°C and 34°C. Historical July averages near 31–32°C provide baseline context, but traders weigh the latest model runs and potential for brief clear-sky intensification when assessing resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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