Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA models converge on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Wuhan on June 13, reflecting stable high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and typical early-summer insolation across the Yangtze valley. These conditions support moderate surface heating without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows mean highs near 29°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, placing the current market-implied distribution squarely within normal variability. Model spread of 1–2°C and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or timing of weak frontal passages remain the chief sources of uncertainty ahead of final runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
27°C 32%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
13%
26°C
24%
27°C
32%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
12%
27°C 32%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 13%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
13%
26°C
24%
27°C
32%
28°C
18%
29°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and CMA models converge on a 26–28°C daily maximum for Wuhan on June 13, reflecting stable high pressure, light southeasterly flow, and typical early-summer insolation across the Yangtze valley. These conditions support moderate surface heating without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures. Historical mid-June climatology shows mean highs near 29°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, placing the current market-implied distribution squarely within normal variability. Model spread of 1–2°C and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or timing of weak frontal passages remain the chief sources of uncertainty ahead of final runs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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