Cloud cover and widespread showers across Zhengzhou on September 20 are suppressing daytime heating, keeping the market's strongest implied probability (74.5%) on a 23°C maximum. Multiple forecast models show persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60-80% rain chances that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with observed morning readings near 22-23°C. Historical September averages hover near 25-27°C under clearer conditions, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear to weigh official guidance indicating little chance of clearing sufficient for 25°C or higher, with only modest probability mass on 24°C if showers remain light and brief.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
23°C 92%
24°C 7%
25°C 5%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
92%
24°C
7%
25°C
5%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
23°C 92%
24°C 7%
25°C 5%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$383 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$819 ปริมาณ
92%
24°C
$228 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$162 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$247 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$849 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$36 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and widespread showers across Zhengzhou on September 20 are suppressing daytime heating, keeping the market's strongest implied probability (74.5%) on a 23°C maximum. Multiple forecast models show persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60-80% rain chances that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with observed morning readings near 22-23°C. Historical September averages hover near 25-27°C under clearer conditions, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear to weigh official guidance indicating little chance of clearing sufficient for 25°C or higher, with only modest probability mass on 24°C if showers remain light and brief.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloud cover and widespread showers across Zhengzhou on September 20 are suppressing daytime heating, keeping the market's strongest implied probability (74.5%) on a 23°C maximum. Multiple forecast models show persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60-80% rain chances that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with observed morning readings near 22-23°C. Historical September averages hover near 25-27°C under clearer conditions, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear to weigh official guidance indicating little chance of clearing sufficient for 25°C or higher, with only modest probability mass on 24°C if showers remain light and brief.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,848วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Cloud cover and widespread showers across Zhengzhou on September 20 are suppressing daytime heating, keeping the market's strongest implied probability (74.5%) on a 23°C maximum. Multiple forecast models show persistent overcast skies, light northerly winds, and 60-80% rain chances that limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with observed morning readings near 22-23°C. Historical September averages hover near 25-27°C under clearer conditions, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of the distribution. Traders appear to weigh official guidance indicating little chance of clearing sufficient for 25°C or higher, with only modest probability mass on 24°C if showers remain light and brief.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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