Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, combined with Juliana Stratton's strong performance in the March 2026 Democratic primary and backing from Governor JB Pritzker, has anchored trader consensus around her nomination as the clear favorite to win the open Senate seat on November 3. As lieutenant governor, Stratton benefits from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure in a state where recent forecasts project a comfortable margin for the Democratic nominee. Don Tracy, the Republican primary winner and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates in Illinois Senate races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$29,618 ปริมาณ
$29,618 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
95%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
$29,618 ปริมาณ
$29,618 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$15,199 ปริมาณ
95%
Don Tracy (R)
$14,419 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, combined with Juliana Stratton's strong performance in the March 2026 Democratic primary and backing from Governor JB Pritzker, has anchored trader consensus around her nomination as the clear favorite to win the open Senate seat on November 3. As lieutenant governor, Stratton benefits from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure in a state where recent forecasts project a comfortable margin for the Democratic nominee. Don Tracy, the Republican primary winner and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates in Illinois Senate races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,618วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, combined with Juliana Stratton's strong performance in the March 2026 Democratic primary and backing from Governor JB Pritzker, has anchored trader consensus around her nomination as the clear favorite to win the open Senate seat on November 3. As lieutenant governor, Stratton benefits from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure in a state where recent forecasts project a comfortable margin for the Democratic nominee. Don Tracy, the Republican primary winner and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates in Illinois Senate races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,618วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, combined with Juliana Stratton's strong performance in the March 2026 Democratic primary and backing from Governor JB Pritzker, has anchored trader consensus around her nomination as the clear favorite to win the open Senate seat on November 3. As lieutenant governor, Stratton benefits from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure in a state where recent forecasts project a comfortable margin for the Democratic nominee. Don Tracy, the Republican primary winner and former state party chair, faces structural headwinds typical for GOP candidates in Illinois Senate races. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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