Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, activating constitutional provisions for an interim council and formal election. As of mid-August 2026, Mojtaba has issued appointments elevating IRGC-linked hardliners, including Mohsen Rezaei as national security secretary, amid reported factional tensions with reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian. These moves reflect efforts to consolidate authority while navigating security challenges and internal power dynamics that traders monitor for signs of further instability or shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$23,608,557 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
11%
31 ธันวาคม
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,608,557 ปริมาณ
August 22
$58,081 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 31
$1,176,985 ปริมาณ
1%
September 30
$464,388 ปริมาณ
5%
October 31
$13,961 ปริมาณ
8%
November 30
$12,278 ปริมาณ
11%
31 ธันวาคม
$4,033,476 ปริมาณ
17%
June 30, 2027
$241,196 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, activating constitutional provisions for an interim council and formal election. As of mid-August 2026, Mojtaba has issued appointments elevating IRGC-linked hardliners, including Mohsen Rezaei as national security secretary, amid reported factional tensions with reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian. These moves reflect efforts to consolidate authority while navigating security challenges and internal power dynamics that traders monitor for signs of further instability or shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,608,557วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, activating constitutional provisions for an interim council and formal election. As of mid-August 2026, Mojtaba has issued appointments elevating IRGC-linked hardliners, including Mohsen Rezaei as national security secretary, amid reported factional tensions with reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian. These moves reflect efforts to consolidate authority while navigating security challenges and internal power dynamics that traders monitor for signs of further instability or shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,608,557วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's supreme leadership underwent a rapid transition after Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, during the Iran war. The Assembly of Experts selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March, activating constitutional provisions for an interim council and formal election. As of mid-August 2026, Mojtaba has issued appointments elevating IRGC-linked hardliners, including Mohsen Rezaei as national security secretary, amid reported factional tensions with reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian. These moves reflect efforts to consolidate authority while navigating security challenges and internal power dynamics that traders monitor for signs of further instability or shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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