Kansas's solidly Republican electorate and the recent August 4 primaries have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Roger Marshall at 80% implied probability. Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored GOP Senate candidates, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded primary field as the general-election nominee. Recent polls show Marshall holding leads of 1 to 8 points, consistent with historical margins in this non-competitive battleground. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major late developments altering the fundamentals, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's structural advantages and the state's partisan lean heavily in the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$39,811 ปริมาณ
$39,811 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
21%
$39,811 ปริมาณ
$39,811 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$26,196 ปริมาณ
80%
Democrat
$13,616 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's solidly Republican electorate and the recent August 4 primaries have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Roger Marshall at 80% implied probability. Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored GOP Senate candidates, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded primary field as the general-election nominee. Recent polls show Marshall holding leads of 1 to 8 points, consistent with historical margins in this non-competitive battleground. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major late developments altering the fundamentals, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's structural advantages and the state's partisan lean heavily in the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,811วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas's solidly Republican electorate and the recent August 4 primaries have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Roger Marshall at 80% implied probability. Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored GOP Senate candidates, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded primary field as the general-election nominee. Recent polls show Marshall holding leads of 1 to 8 points, consistent with historical margins in this non-competitive battleground. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major late developments altering the fundamentals, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's structural advantages and the state's partisan lean heavily in the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,811วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kansas's solidly Republican electorate and the recent August 4 primaries have anchored trader consensus around incumbent Roger Marshall at 80% implied probability. Marshall secured his party's nomination with minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored GOP Senate candidates, while Democrat Adam Hamilton emerged from a crowded primary field as the general-election nominee. Recent polls show Marshall holding leads of 1 to 8 points, consistent with historical margins in this non-competitive battleground. With the November 3 general election approaching and no major late developments altering the fundamentals, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's structural advantages and the state's partisan lean heavily in the current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย