**Trader consensus centers on a 16–18°C overnight low in Wuhan on October 13, with 17°C and 18°C each at 50% implied probability and 16°C close behind at 49.5%.** Clear to partly cloudy skies under north to northeast flow permit strong nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–28°C. Light winds and moderate humidity levels support efficient surface heat loss, while the urban heat island effect in Wuhan provides a modest buffer against deeper drops. Model guidance and official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources align on minimums of 16–21°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind speed, with the tight market spread reflecting uncertainty in the precise strength of the developing inversion and any late-evening cloud increases ahead of the approaching cold-air influence later in the week.