The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMassachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout
2.95M-3.1M 44%
3.1M+ 44%
2.35M-2.5M 43%
2.5M-2.65M 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
41%
2.2M-2.35M
43%
2.35M-2.5M
43%
2.5M-2.65M
43%
2.65M-2.8M
43%
2.8M-2.95M
43%
2.95M-3.1M
44%
3.1M+
44%
2.95M-3.1M 44%
3.1M+ 44%
2.35M-2.5M 43%
2.5M-2.65M 43%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
2.2M-2.35M
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
2.35M-2.5M
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
2.5M-2.65M
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
2.65M-2.8M
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
2.8M-2.95M
$0 ปริมาณ
43%
2.95M-3.1M
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
3.1M+
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across turnout ranges for the Massachusetts Senate election reflect uncertainty over voter participation in a contest rated safe Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey faces primary challenger Seth Moulton on September 1, 2026, which could drive higher engagement among Democratic voters and set the tone for November 3 general election mobilization. Republican nominee John Deaton's campaign and any national midterm dynamics may influence overall participation, while structural factors such as Massachusetts' historically high turnout rates, early voting access, and ballot initiatives add variables. Traders appear to weigh these elements without a dominant signal yet emerging from recent polling or campaign activity.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
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