Democratic candidates hold clear polling edges in both Minnesota races on Election Day, with Amy Klobuchar leading Lisa Demuth by roughly 10-12 points in the governor contest and Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by 3-6 points in the Senate race across recent surveys from AtlasIntel, SurveyUSA, and others. These margins align with the state's partisan lean and the open-seat dynamics following retirements, producing trader consensus heavily favoring a Democratic sweep at 89.5 percent. The narrower Senate contest accounts for the smaller probabilities on split outcomes, while historical patterns of Democratic performance in statewide Minnesota voting further support current positioning. Late October and early November polling has shown stable leads without major shifts from endorsements or campaign events.
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