Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by June 30 20.5%
June 23 18%
June 30 15%
June 16 8%
$97,072 ปริมาณ
$97,072 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 10
<1%
June 11
4%
June 12
<1%
June 13
<1%
June 14
<1%
June 15
3%
June 16
8%
June 17
8%
June 18
6%
June 19
1%
June 20
1%
June 21
1%
June 22
7%
June 23
18%
June 24
3%
June 25
1%
June 26
6%
June 27
1%
June 28
<1%
June 29
1%
June 30
15%
No release by June 30
20%
No release by June 30 20.5%
June 23 18%
June 30 15%
June 16 8%
$97,072 ปริมาณ
$97,072 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 10
$1,646 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 11
$1,900 ปริมาณ
4%
June 12
$2,246 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 13
$2,537 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 14
$2,635 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 15
$1,744 ปริมาณ
3%
June 16
$2,937 ปริมาณ
8%
June 17
$2,663 ปริมาณ
8%
June 18
$2,505 ปริมาณ
6%
June 19
$2,266 ปริมาณ
1%
June 20
$1,313 ปริมาณ
1%
June 21
$1,069 ปริมาณ
1%
June 22
$2,780 ปริมาณ
7%
June 23
$3,527 ปริมาณ
18%
June 24
$2,492 ปริมาณ
3%
June 25
$1,243 ปริมาณ
1%
June 26
$3,009 ปริมาณ
6%
June 27
$1,979 ปริมาณ
1%
June 28
$993 ปริมาณ
<1%
June 29
$1,487 ปริมาณ
1%
June 30
$4,663 ปริมาณ
15%
No release by June 30
$12,704 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,072วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,072วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind the dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย