Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude Opus series drives trader sentiment here, with the 4.6-thinking variant holding a strong second-place position at 37.7% amid ongoing leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and agentic tasks. The dominant 62.9% on Other reflects market consensus that a newer or unlisted release—likely Claude Opus 4.7 or 4.8, which posted modest gains in May—will top leaderboards by June 13, outpacing listed Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and 3.5 Flash options. Recent benchmark updates show Claude models excelling in tool use and long-context reasoning over competitors, though no major announcements have shifted odds in the past week, leaving room for last-minute capability demonstrations or rival updates to influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOther 62.9%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.7%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$26,384 ปริมาณ
$26,384 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
Other
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
38%
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
<1%
Other 62.9%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 37.7%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking <1%
$26,384 ปริมาณ
$26,384 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
Other
$10,740 ปริมาณ
63%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$7,858 ปริมาณ
38%
claude-opus-4-6
$4,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$1,814 ปริมาณ
<1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$1,090 ปริมาณ
<1%
gemini-3.5-flash
$858 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude Opus series drives trader sentiment here, with the 4.6-thinking variant holding a strong second-place position at 37.7% amid ongoing leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and agentic tasks. The dominant 62.9% on Other reflects market consensus that a newer or unlisted release—likely Claude Opus 4.7 or 4.8, which posted modest gains in May—will top leaderboards by June 13, outpacing listed Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and 3.5 Flash options. Recent benchmark updates show Claude models excelling in tool use and long-context reasoning over competitors, though no major announcements have shifted odds in the past week, leaving room for last-minute capability demonstrations or rival updates to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,384วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude Opus series drives trader sentiment here, with the 4.6-thinking variant holding a strong second-place position at 37.7% amid ongoing leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and agentic tasks. The dominant 62.9% on Other reflects market consensus that a newer or unlisted release—likely Claude Opus 4.7 or 4.8, which posted modest gains in May—will top leaderboards by June 13, outpacing listed Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and 3.5 Flash options. Recent benchmark updates show Claude models excelling in tool use and long-context reasoning over competitors, though no major announcements have shifted odds in the past week, leaving room for last-minute capability demonstrations or rival updates to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,384วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 5, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude Opus series drives trader sentiment here, with the 4.6-thinking variant holding a strong second-place position at 37.7% amid ongoing leadership in coding benchmarks such as SWE-Bench and agentic tasks. The dominant 62.9% on Other reflects market consensus that a newer or unlisted release—likely Claude Opus 4.7 or 4.8, which posted modest gains in May—will top leaderboards by June 13, outpacing listed Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview and 3.5 Flash options. Recent benchmark updates show Claude models excelling in tool use and long-context reasoning over competitors, though no major announcements have shifted odds in the past week, leaving room for last-minute capability demonstrations or rival updates to influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย