The tight clustering of frontier models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI drives current trader sentiment around which company secures the #1 large language model by June 30. As of mid-May 2026, GPT-5.4 Pro, Claude Opus 4.6/4.7, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok-4.20 sit within a few points on composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, reflecting rapid iterative releases and converging capabilities in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks. This dynamic stems from frequent updates that emphasize cost, reliability, and specialized performance rather than outright leaps. Upcoming catalysts include any mid-year model drops or benchmark disclosures before the deadline, which could tip aggregated trader consensus toward one lab based on demonstrated strengths in agentic workflows or third-party integrations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,563,300 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Mistral
10%
OpenAI
11%
xAI
5%
เมตา
4%
Baidu
2%
Z.ai
2%
Nvidia
2%
DeepSeek
2%
อาลีบาบา
2%
Meituan
1%
$1,563,300 ปริมาณ
Mistral
$13,200 ปริมาณ
10%
OpenAI
$406,502 ปริมาณ
11%
xAI
$559,434 ปริมาณ
5%
เมตา
$15,461 ปริมาณ
4%
Baidu
$3,931 ปริมาณ
2%
Z.ai
$10,760 ปริมาณ
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 ปริมาณ
2%
DeepSeek
$275,939 ปริมาณ
2%
อาลีบาบา
$10,627 ปริมาณ
2%
Meituan
$3,056 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.The tight clustering of frontier models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI drives current trader sentiment around which company secures the #1 large language model by June 30. As of mid-May 2026, GPT-5.4 Pro, Claude Opus 4.6/4.7, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok-4.20 sit within a few points on composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, reflecting rapid iterative releases and converging capabilities in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks. This dynamic stems from frequent updates that emphasize cost, reliability, and specialized performance rather than outright leaps. Upcoming catalysts include any mid-year model drops or benchmark disclosures before the deadline, which could tip aggregated trader consensus toward one lab based on demonstrated strengths in agentic workflows or third-party integrations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,563,300วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.The tight clustering of frontier models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI drives current trader sentiment around which company secures the #1 large language model by June 30. As of mid-May 2026, GPT-5.4 Pro, Claude Opus 4.6/4.7, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok-4.20 sit within a few points on composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, reflecting rapid iterative releases and converging capabilities in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks. This dynamic stems from frequent updates that emphasize cost, reliability, and specialized performance rather than outright leaps. Upcoming catalysts include any mid-year model drops or benchmark disclosures before the deadline, which could tip aggregated trader consensus toward one lab based on demonstrated strengths in agentic workflows or third-party integrations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,563,300วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The tight clustering of frontier models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI drives current trader sentiment around which company secures the #1 large language model by June 30. As of mid-May 2026, GPT-5.4 Pro, Claude Opus 4.6/4.7, Gemini 3.1 Pro, and Grok-4.20 sit within a few points on composite benchmarks and Arena Elo ratings, reflecting rapid iterative releases and converging capabilities in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks. This dynamic stems from frequent updates that emphasize cost, reliability, and specialized performance rather than outright leaps. Upcoming catalysts include any mid-year model drops or benchmark disclosures before the deadline, which could tip aggregated trader consensus toward one lab based on demonstrated strengths in agentic workflows or third-party integrations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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