Anthropic currently leads multiple June 2026 leaderboards with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 variants topping composite quality, reasoning (GPQA), and agentic coding (SWE-Bench) benchmarks, driven by recent releases emphasizing adaptive reasoning and long-context handling. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro follow closely in intelligence indices and multimodal tasks, narrowing historical gaps across labs. Trader sentiment reflects intense release cycles, with performance converging among frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI, shifting focus to cost, reliability, and domain-specific strengths. Key catalysts through year-end include expected GPT-6 iterations, expanded agent capabilities, and new benchmark results that could shift #1 rankings before December 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$37,655 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
55%
OpenAI
33%
Meta
15%
xAI
14%
ByteDance
10%
DeepSeek
10%
Amazon
10%
Microsoft
10%
Alibaba
9%
Moonshot
9%
Z.ai
9%
Baidu
9%
Mistral
7%
Meituan
7%
$37,655 ปริมาณ
$8,621 ปริมาณ
55%
OpenAI
$8,100 ปริมาณ
33%
Meta
$2,429 ปริมาณ
15%
xAI
$4,963 ปริมาณ
14%
ByteDance
$2,182 ปริมาณ
10%
DeepSeek
$1,178 ปริมาณ
10%
Amazon
$1,313 ปริมาณ
10%
Microsoft
$2,264 ปริมาณ
10%
Alibaba
$363 ปริมาณ
9%
Moonshot
$574 ปริมาณ
9%
Z.ai
$956 ปริมาณ
9%
Baidu
$500 ปริมาณ
9%
Mistral
$2,612 ปริมาณ
7%
Meituan
$1,601 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently leads multiple June 2026 leaderboards with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 variants topping composite quality, reasoning (GPQA), and agentic coding (SWE-Bench) benchmarks, driven by recent releases emphasizing adaptive reasoning and long-context handling. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro follow closely in intelligence indices and multimodal tasks, narrowing historical gaps across labs. Trader sentiment reflects intense release cycles, with performance converging among frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI, shifting focus to cost, reliability, and domain-specific strengths. Key catalysts through year-end include expected GPT-6 iterations, expanded agent capabilities, and new benchmark results that could shift #1 rankings before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,655วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic currently leads multiple June 2026 leaderboards with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 variants topping composite quality, reasoning (GPQA), and agentic coding (SWE-Bench) benchmarks, driven by recent releases emphasizing adaptive reasoning and long-context handling. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro follow closely in intelligence indices and multimodal tasks, narrowing historical gaps across labs. Trader sentiment reflects intense release cycles, with performance converging among frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI, shifting focus to cost, reliability, and domain-specific strengths. Key catalysts through year-end include expected GPT-6 iterations, expanded agent capabilities, and new benchmark results that could shift #1 rankings before December 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,655วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic currently leads multiple June 2026 leaderboards with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 4.8 variants topping composite quality, reasoning (GPQA), and agentic coding (SWE-Bench) benchmarks, driven by recent releases emphasizing adaptive reasoning and long-context handling. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro follow closely in intelligence indices and multimodal tasks, narrowing historical gaps across labs. Trader sentiment reflects intense release cycles, with performance converging among frontier models from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and xAI, shifting focus to cost, reliability, and domain-specific strengths. Key catalysts through year-end include expected GPT-6 iterations, expanded agent capabilities, and new benchmark results that could shift #1 rankings before December 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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