Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery odds reflect tight trader consensus amid Q1's 358k deliveries—up 6% year-over-year but with a 50k inventory buildup from 408k production—setting up debate on sequential rebound potential. Strong April signals, including 36% year-over-year China-made sales growth and European registration surges exceeding 100% in France, Denmark, and others, bolster higher buckets like 475k+ (23.1%) and 375k–400k (24.5%), while <300k (22.1%) captures fears of US demand weakness and BYD's aggressive pricing. Competitive pressures from Chinese EV exports and delayed Full Self-Driving approvals in key markets heighten uncertainty, with May-June US inventory drawdown and potential tariff impacts as pivotal catalysts before the early-July report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว375k–400k 25%
475k+ 23.2%
425k–450k 16%
450k–475k 14.0%
$41,747 ปริมาณ
$41,747 ปริมาณ
<300k
6%
300k–325k
1%
325k–350k
12%
350k–375k
14%
375k–400k
25%
400k–425k
16%
425k–450k
19%
450k–475k
19%
475k+
23%
375k–400k 25%
475k+ 23.2%
425k–450k 16%
450k–475k 14.0%
$41,747 ปริมาณ
$41,747 ปริมาณ
<300k
6%
300k–325k
1%
325k–350k
12%
350k–375k
14%
375k–400k
25%
400k–425k
16%
425k–450k
19%
450k–475k
19%
475k+
23%
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's Q2 2026 delivery odds reflect tight trader consensus amid Q1's 358k deliveries—up 6% year-over-year but with a 50k inventory buildup from 408k production—setting up debate on sequential rebound potential. Strong April signals, including 36% year-over-year China-made sales growth and European registration surges exceeding 100% in France, Denmark, and others, bolster higher buckets like 475k+ (23.1%) and 375k–400k (24.5%), while <300k (22.1%) captures fears of US demand weakness and BYD's aggressive pricing. Competitive pressures from Chinese EV exports and delayed Full Self-Driving approvals in key markets heighten uncertainty, with May-June US inventory drawdown and potential tariff impacts as pivotal catalysts before the early-July report.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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