Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.5% implied probability to Anthropic holding the best AI model by May 31, propelled by Claude Opus 4.7's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with the highest Elo rating around 1501. This frontier large language model, released in mid-April alongside the Mythos Preview, excels in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks per benchmarks like SWE-Bench, outpacing rivals with multiple Anthropic entries in the top five. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 trails at #8, while Google's 10.5% reflects anticipation for Gemini advancements at I/O on May 19. Absent major surprises, Anthropic's 1-3 month capability lead over peers cements its positioning, though rapid AI iteration keeps resolution uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 87%
Google 11%
OpenAI 2.3%
xAI <1%
$6,225,167 ปริมาณ
$6,225,167 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
87%
11%
OpenAI
2%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 87%
Google 11%
OpenAI 2.3%
xAI <1%
$6,225,167 ปริมาณ
$6,225,167 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$489,426 ปริมาณ
87%
$369,277 ปริมาณ
11%
OpenAI
$593,942 ปริมาณ
2%
xAI
$436,713 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$344,182 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$448,647 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$427,076 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$322,030 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$403,329 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$427,264 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$461,547 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$395,105 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$388,958 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$311,562 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$406,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.5% implied probability to Anthropic holding the best AI model by May 31, propelled by Claude Opus 4.7's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with the highest Elo rating around 1501. This frontier large language model, released in mid-April alongside the Mythos Preview, excels in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks per benchmarks like SWE-Bench, outpacing rivals with multiple Anthropic entries in the top five. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 trails at #8, while Google's 10.5% reflects anticipation for Gemini advancements at I/O on May 19. Absent major surprises, Anthropic's 1-3 month capability lead over peers cements its positioning, though rapid AI iteration keeps resolution uncertain.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,225,167วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.5% implied probability to Anthropic holding the best AI model by May 31, propelled by Claude Opus 4.7's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with the highest Elo rating around 1501. This frontier large language model, released in mid-April alongside the Mythos Preview, excels in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks per benchmarks like SWE-Bench, outpacing rivals with multiple Anthropic entries in the top five. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 trails at #8, while Google's 10.5% reflects anticipation for Gemini advancements at I/O on May 19. Absent major surprises, Anthropic's 1-3 month capability lead over peers cements its positioning, though rapid AI iteration keeps resolution uncertain.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,225,167วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 86.5% implied probability to Anthropic holding the best AI model by May 31, propelled by Claude Opus 4.7's sustained dominance atop the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with the highest Elo rating around 1501. This frontier large language model, released in mid-April alongside the Mythos Preview, excels in reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks per benchmarks like SWE-Bench, outpacing rivals with multiple Anthropic entries in the top five. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 trails at #8, while Google's 10.5% reflects anticipation for Gemini advancements at I/O on May 19. Absent major surprises, Anthropic's 1-3 month capability lead over peers cements its positioning, though rapid AI iteration keeps resolution uncertain.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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