Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—remain the central driver of market sentiment around the next Pro release. The model continues in partner testing with no general availability or firm timeline, while Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 variants through early September) focused on agentic coding, token efficiency, and specialized tasks like cybersecurity. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has concluded, shifting internal focus to post-training and reinforcing expectations of a late-2026 frontier Pro launch rather than an immediate 3.5 Pro rollout. Traders weigh Google’s conservative pacing and competitive gaps against rivals against the possibility of surprise API or app updates before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,269,101 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
11%
October 31
65%
October 15
18%
$1,269,101 ปริมาณ
September 15
$12,250 ปริมาณ
3%
September 30
$81,197 ปริมาณ
11%
October 31
$16,248 ปริมาณ
65%
October 15
$3,322 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—remain the central driver of market sentiment around the next Pro release. The model continues in partner testing with no general availability or firm timeline, while Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 variants through early September) focused on agentic coding, token efficiency, and specialized tasks like cybersecurity. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has concluded, shifting internal focus to post-training and reinforcing expectations of a late-2026 frontier Pro launch rather than an immediate 3.5 Pro rollout. Traders weigh Google’s conservative pacing and competitive gaps against rivals against the possibility of surprise API or app updates before November.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,269,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—remain the central driver of market sentiment around the next Pro release. The model continues in partner testing with no general availability or firm timeline, while Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 variants through early September) focused on agentic coding, token efficiency, and specialized tasks like cybersecurity. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has concluded, shifting internal focus to post-training and reinforcing expectations of a late-2026 frontier Pro launch rather than an immediate 3.5 Pro rollout. Traders weigh Google’s conservative pacing and competitive gaps against rivals against the possibility of surprise API or app updates before November.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,269,101วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May 2026 with a June target that slipped past July—remain the central driver of market sentiment around the next Pro release. The model continues in partner testing with no general availability or firm timeline, while Google has shipped frequent Flash iterations (3.6, 3.7, and 3.8 variants through early September) focused on agentic coding, token efficiency, and specialized tasks like cybersecurity. Pretraining on the more ambitious Gemini 4 has concluded, shifting internal focus to post-training and reinforcing expectations of a late-2026 frontier Pro launch rather than an immediate 3.5 Pro rollout. Traders weigh Google’s conservative pacing and competitive gaps against rivals against the possibility of surprise API or app updates before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย