Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$38,327 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
June 12
4%
June 19
28%
June 26
68%
June 30
80%
July 31
96%
$38,327 ปริมาณ
June 12
$5,334 ปริมาณ
4%
June 19
$6,882 ปริมาณ
28%
June 26
$7,391 ปริมาณ
68%
June 30
$13,148 ปริมาณ
80%
July 31
$3,130 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,327วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,327วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google’s May 2026 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month” remains the dominant catalyst behind dispersed June probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to a late-month window or a slip past June 30. The lack of a firm date or further developer updates since the event has kept sentiment fluid, reflecting typical Google release patterns where flagship Pro models follow Flash variants by several weeks amid ongoing internal testing and benchmark validation. Competitive pressure from rival large language model launches adds urgency, yet traders appear to price in realistic slippage risks around regulatory reviews, infrastructure scaling, and final safety checks before public API and app rollout. Key near-term signals include any Google blog posts, earnings commentary, or partner previews that could narrow the June 23–30 cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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