Anthropic's dominant positioning stems from its rapid 2026 cadence of frontier releases, including Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5, which have topped Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indexes plus Arena leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks. These models demonstrate superior capabilities in agentic workflows, dynamic multi-agent orchestration, and benchmark scores that traders view as sustained edges over OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 family. With the October resolution still distant, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect real capital betting on Anthropic extending its streak absent major competitive leaps, while sub-6% odds for OpenAI, Google, and others capture limited recent momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 86%
Google 5.7%
OpenAI 4.8%
SpaceXAI 4.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
86%
6%
OpenAI
5%
SpaceXAI
4%
Meituan
2%
Microsoft
2%
Meta
1%
Nvidia
1%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
Amazon
1%
Thinky
1%
Mistral
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 86%
Google 5.7%
OpenAI 4.8%
SpaceXAI 4.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$4,515 ปริมาณ
86%
$175 ปริมาณ
6%
OpenAI
$192 ปริมาณ
5%
SpaceXAI
$301 ปริมาณ
4%
Meituan
$217 ปริมาณ
2%
Microsoft
$172 ปริมาณ
2%
Meta
$182 ปริมาณ
1%
Nvidia
$196 ปริมาณ
1%
Moonshot
$249 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$187 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$204 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$209 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$193 ปริมาณ
1%
Thinky
$166 ปริมาณ
1%
Mistral
$186 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$219 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's dominant positioning stems from its rapid 2026 cadence of frontier releases, including Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5, which have topped Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indexes plus Arena leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks. These models demonstrate superior capabilities in agentic workflows, dynamic multi-agent orchestration, and benchmark scores that traders view as sustained edges over OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 family. With the October resolution still distant, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect real capital betting on Anthropic extending its streak absent major competitive leaps, while sub-6% odds for OpenAI, Google, and others capture limited recent momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,545วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's dominant positioning stems from its rapid 2026 cadence of frontier releases, including Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5, which have topped Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indexes plus Arena leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks. These models demonstrate superior capabilities in agentic workflows, dynamic multi-agent orchestration, and benchmark scores that traders view as sustained edges over OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 family. With the October resolution still distant, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect real capital betting on Anthropic extending its streak absent major competitive leaps, while sub-6% odds for OpenAI, Google, and others capture limited recent momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,545วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's dominant positioning stems from its rapid 2026 cadence of frontier releases, including Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5, which have topped Artificial Analysis Intelligence and Agentic Indexes plus Arena leaderboards in coding, reasoning, and long-horizon tasks. These models demonstrate superior capabilities in agentic workflows, dynamic multi-agent orchestration, and benchmark scores that traders view as sustained edges over OpenAI's July GPT-5.6 family. With the October resolution still distant, the 85.5% market-implied odds reflect real capital betting on Anthropic extending its streak absent major competitive leaps, while sub-6% odds for OpenAI, Google, and others capture limited recent momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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