Anthropic's Claude Opus series, including recent 4.6–4.8 iterations, drives the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability through sustained leadership on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where scores often exceed 80% compared to OpenAI's GPT-5 variants near 76–80%. Developer preference for Claude Code's agentic features, multi-agent orchestration, and strong performance on complex software engineering tasks reinforces this edge, backed by integrations in tools like Cursor. With end-of-June resolution approaching, a late surprise model release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or another lab remains a low-probability disruptor, though current verified capabilities and ecosystem momentum make any shift unlikely in the short window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Anthropic 96.4%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,366 ปริมาณ
$69,366 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
96%
OpenAI
2%
Z.ai
1%
xAI
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meta
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 96.4%
OpenAI 2.0%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$69,366 ปริมาณ
$69,366 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$9,957 ปริมาณ
96%
OpenAI
$8,884 ปริมาณ
2%
Z.ai
$8,297 ปริมาณ
1%
xAI
$8,462 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$5,774 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$5,820 ปริมาณ
<1%
$6,945 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$3,593 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$5,779 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$1,844 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$747 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$868 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$894 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$870 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus series, including recent 4.6–4.8 iterations, drives the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability through sustained leadership on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where scores often exceed 80% compared to OpenAI's GPT-5 variants near 76–80%. Developer preference for Claude Code's agentic features, multi-agent orchestration, and strong performance on complex software engineering tasks reinforces this edge, backed by integrations in tools like Cursor. With end-of-June resolution approaching, a late surprise model release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or another lab remains a low-probability disruptor, though current verified capabilities and ecosystem momentum make any shift unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,366วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus series, including recent 4.6–4.8 iterations, drives the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability through sustained leadership on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where scores often exceed 80% compared to OpenAI's GPT-5 variants near 76–80%. Developer preference for Claude Code's agentic features, multi-agent orchestration, and strong performance on complex software engineering tasks reinforces this edge, backed by integrations in tools like Cursor. With end-of-June resolution approaching, a late surprise model release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or another lab remains a low-probability disruptor, though current verified capabilities and ecosystem momentum make any shift unlikely in the short window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,366วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus series, including recent 4.6–4.8 iterations, drives the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability through sustained leadership on coding benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified, where scores often exceed 80% compared to OpenAI's GPT-5 variants near 76–80%. Developer preference for Claude Code's agentic features, multi-agent orchestration, and strong performance on complex software engineering tasks reinforces this edge, backed by integrations in tools like Cursor. With end-of-June resolution approaching, a late surprise model release or benchmark reversal from OpenAI or another lab remains a low-probability disruptor, though current verified capabilities and ecosystem momentum make any shift unlikely in the short window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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