SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut on June 12 propelled Elon Musk’s net worth above $1.1 trillion, with his roughly 42% stake valued at more than $800 billion at opening prices near $150–167 per share. This single event shifted trader consensus sharply toward the 800b+ outcome, now carrying 99.2% implied probability, as the added liquidity and valuation dwarf ongoing Tesla share-price volatility around $380–410. Recent Tesla weakness, including a roughly 16% pullback from May peaks, trimmed holdings by tens of billions but left the SpaceX windfall dominant. With only two weeks until June 30 resolution, sustained trading above key support levels in both stocks would need to reverse dramatically—via sharp post-IPO lock-up pressure or broader equity-market selloff—to threaten the prevailing market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วElon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 ปริมาณ
$48,076 ปริมาณ
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
800b+ 99.2%
660-680b <1%
<660b <1%
680-700b <1%
$48,076 ปริมาณ
$48,076 ปริมาณ
<660b
<1%
660-680b
<1%
680-700b
<1%
700-720b
<1%
720-740b
<1%
740-760b
<1%
760-780b
<1%
780-800b
<1%
800b+
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s Nasdaq debut on June 12 propelled Elon Musk’s net worth above $1.1 trillion, with his roughly 42% stake valued at more than $800 billion at opening prices near $150–167 per share. This single event shifted trader consensus sharply toward the 800b+ outcome, now carrying 99.2% implied probability, as the added liquidity and valuation dwarf ongoing Tesla share-price volatility around $380–410. Recent Tesla weakness, including a roughly 16% pullback from May peaks, trimmed holdings by tens of billions but left the SpaceX windfall dominant. With only two weeks until June 30 resolution, sustained trading above key support levels in both stocks would need to reverse dramatically—via sharp post-IPO lock-up pressure or broader equity-market selloff—to threaten the prevailing market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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