SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and subsequent reports targeting a mid-June IPO at roughly $1.75 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range, now carrying a 60.5% implied probability. Secondary-market trades on Forge Global recently cleared near $1.52 trillion, while 2025 revenue estimates of $15–18.5 billion imply forward price-to-sales multiples of 55–100x at the proposed level, consistent with the rapid growth in Starlink’s global broadband subscriber base. Analysts note that any acceleration in Starship flight cadence or additional anchor orders could support the upper end of the 1.75–2.00T band, whereas delays or softer-than-expected margins would likely pressure the valuation toward the 1.50–1.75T outcome currently at 20.9%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.75-2.00T 61%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.00-2.25T 8%
1.50-1.75T 5.0%
$133,671 ปริมาณ
$133,671 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
1%
1.25-1.50T
4%
1.50-1.75T
21%
1.75-2.00T
62%
2.00-2.25T
8%
2.25-2.50T
8%
2.50T+
5%
1.75-2.00T 61%
2.25-2.50T 7.7%
2.00-2.25T 8%
1.50-1.75T 5.0%
$133,671 ปริมาณ
$133,671 ปริมาณ
<1.25T
$60,323 ปริมาณ
1%
1.25-1.50T
$16,039 ปริมาณ
4%
1.50-1.75T
$9,240 ปริมาณ
21%
1.75-2.00T
$12,949 ปริมาณ
62%
2.00-2.25T
$14,286 ปริมาณ
8%
2.25-2.50T
$10,055 ปริมาณ
8%
2.50T+
$10,779 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and subsequent reports targeting a mid-June IPO at roughly $1.75 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range, now carrying a 60.5% implied probability. Secondary-market trades on Forge Global recently cleared near $1.52 trillion, while 2025 revenue estimates of $15–18.5 billion imply forward price-to-sales multiples of 55–100x at the proposed level, consistent with the rapid growth in Starlink’s global broadband subscriber base. Analysts note that any acceleration in Starship flight cadence or additional anchor orders could support the upper end of the 1.75–2.00T band, whereas delays or softer-than-expected margins would likely pressure the valuation toward the 1.50–1.75T outcome currently at 20.9%.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,671ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and subsequent reports targeting a mid-June IPO at roughly $1.75 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range, now carrying a 60.5% implied probability. Secondary-market trades on Forge Global recently cleared near $1.52 trillion, while 2025 revenue estimates of $15–18.5 billion imply forward price-to-sales multiples of 55–100x at the proposed level, consistent with the rapid growth in Starlink’s global broadband subscriber base. Analysts note that any acceleration in Starship flight cadence or additional anchor orders could support the upper end of the 1.75–2.00T band, whereas delays or softer-than-expected margins would likely pressure the valuation toward the 1.50–1.75T outcome currently at 20.9%.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$133,671ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in early April and subsequent reports targeting a mid-June IPO at roughly $1.75 trillion have anchored trader consensus around the 1.75–2.00T range, now carrying a 60.5% implied probability. Secondary-market trades on Forge Global recently cleared near $1.52 trillion, while 2025 revenue estimates of $15–18.5 billion imply forward price-to-sales multiples of 55–100x at the proposed level, consistent with the rapid growth in Starlink’s global broadband subscriber base. Analysts note that any acceleration in Starship flight cadence or additional anchor orders could support the upper end of the 1.75–2.00T band, whereas delays or softer-than-expected margins would likely pressure the valuation toward the 1.50–1.75T outcome currently at 20.9%.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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